SWODY3
SPC AC 280819
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0219 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2011
VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE/SPLIT LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CONUS
ON SUNDAY...WITH AN INITIALLY AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WEST OF THE
ROCKIES SUNDAY NIGHT. TIED TO A PROGRESSIVE SOUTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...THE PRIMARY DEEP CONVECTIVE FOCUS FOR SUNDAY WILL
BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX/LA.
...SOUTHEAST TX TO LA...
SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS SEEM LIKELY TO BE ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING
ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TX/ARKLATEX. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
PARENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN EASTWARD SHIFT OF THIS
CONVECTION TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY DURING THE DAY...WHERE A MORE
STABLE AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE. WITH THE BRUNT OF THE LARGE SCALE
FORCING LIKELY TO OUTRUN ANY QUALITY/UN-OVERTURNED PORTIONS OF THE
NEAR-COASTAL WARM/MOIST SECTOR...AND GIVEN UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING
EARLY DAY CLOUD COVER/PRECIPITATION...SEVERE POTENTIAL SEEMS LIMITED
AND SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE NOT CURRENTLY WARRANTED.
..GUYER.. 01/28/2011
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment