SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041036
MIZ000-041430-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0182
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0436 AM CST FRI MAR 04 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NRN LOWER MI
CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN
VALID 041036Z - 041430Z
AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD CNTRL/NRN LOWER MI FROM THE
WEST AFTER 11Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING...WITH RATES
UP TO 0.05 INCH PER HOUR ANTICIPATED.
THE SHIELD OF RAIN THAT FORMED OVER PORTIONS OF WI AND NERN IA IN
RESPONSE TO LOW-LEVEL ISENTROPIC ASCENT IS FORECAST TO BE STEERED
E-NEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF LOWER MI DURING THE MORNING HOURS. SFC
TEMPERATURES ACROSS CNTRL/NRN LOWER MI ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
FREEZING...RESULTING IN FREEZING RAIN. WHILE SLEET OR EVEN SNOW MAY
MIX WITH THE PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NRN AREAS...FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR ICE CRYSTAL GROWTH ALOFT
ESPECIALLY GIVEN WEAKENING/SHALLOW ASCENT. AS SUCH...FREEZING RAIN
IS FORECAST TO BE THE DOMINANT PRECIP TYPE. THE 08Z RUN OF THE
EXPERIMENTAL HRRR INDICATES LIQUID EQUIVALENT RATES UP TO 0.05 IN/HR
ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...WITH THE PRECIP CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH
OF THE MORNING.
..COHEN.. 03/04/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...
LAT...LON 43528388 43208552 43438650 44488649 44988581 45228443
44988322 44218313 43528388
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