Sunday, June 19, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1298

ACUS11 KWNS 192014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192013
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-192115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1298
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0313 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA...MUCH OF NC/SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 512...

VALID 192013Z - 192115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 512
CONTINUES.

THREAT OF DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL PERSISTS OVER THE WW AREA.

SHORT WAVE UPPER RIDGING AND CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS APPEAR TO HAVE
INHIBITED MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF STORMS ACROSS THE WW
AREA...THOUGH A VORT MAX OBSERVED ON 20Z WV IMAGERY OVER NRN KY IS
GRADUALLY PROGRESSING EWD...WITH FAVORABLE UPPER ASCENT JUST
BEGINNING TO GLANCE THE WW AREA. A REMNANT NW-SE ORIENTED OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY REMAINS OVER SC...WHILE AN ADDITIONAL OUTFLOW FROM A
DECAYING MCS IN WRN NC IS SURGING SWD TO NEAR GREER AND EWD. WLY
FLOW HAS GRADUALLY BEEN INCREASING ACROSS THE WW AREA...AND SHOULD
SUPPORT DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL IN ASSOCIATION WITH CONVECTION
GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE INSTABILITY.

..HURLBUT.. 06/19/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

LAT...LON 34588552 34988553 34958406 35858298 35858109 36048099
35867890 35637891 35197816 34757821 34707770 34247722
33477815 33537857 32727919 32307991 32578043 33048041
33548138 33698127 34048237 33948268 34118303 34248308
34478346 34488394 34588552

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