SWODY1
SPC AC 161612
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1112 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2011
VALID 161630Z - 171200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
A WEAK TROPICAL LOW IS SLOWLY ORGANIZING OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO...WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING
THROUGHOUT THE REGION. THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THIS CONVECTION
EXTENDS ACROSS THE FL KEYS AND MAY MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN
FL PENINSULA LATER TODAY. LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE
JUST STRONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT CONCERN FOR AN ISOLATED ROTATING STORM
OR TWO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED...BUT A BRIEF TORNADO OR WATERSPOUT CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
..HART/HURLBUT.. 10/16/2011
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