DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 200519
SWODY1
SPC AC 200517

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2012

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
RELATIVELY TRANQUIL FOR DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS
TODAY. WARM CONVEYOR BELT-DRIVEN TSTMS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND. SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOULD FORM
ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS TOWARDS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WITHIN A ZONE OF
STRONG MID-LEVEL DCVA IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION MAY
SUFFICIENTLY DEEPEN FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES...BUT WEAK/VEERED
LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND MEAGER BUOYANCY SHOULD PRECLUDE AN APPRECIABLE
SEVERE RISK.

OTHERWISE...A FEW TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS S FL IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A SWD-SAGGING COLD FRONT. SPARSE LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY ALSO OCCUR
ALONG PARTS OF THE WRN WA COAST AND IN FAR W TX.

..GRAMS.. 10/20/2012

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