ACUS11 KWNS 030753
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030752
LAZ000-MSZ000-031015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2019
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 AM CDT WED OCT 03 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN COASTAL LA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 030752Z - 031015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A FEW STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL WILL THREATEN COASTAL SWRN LA
THIS MORNING...BUT A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED JUST OFF THE SWRN LA
COAST...WITH A FEW STORMS ACROSS NERN LA AS WELL. THESE STORMS ARE
FORMING IN A WEAK TROUGH JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE...AND UNDER THE
UPPER VORT CENTER WITH COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND A RELATIVELY
SHELTERED/MOIST RH PROFILE. THE STRONGEST CELLS WERE NEAR THE
COAST...WHERE HEATING FROM THE OCEAN IS LIKELY CONTRIBUTING.
SHEAR IS WEAK FOR ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT...BUT STEEP LAPSE
RATES ALOFT ALONG WITH A THE WEAKLY VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WILL
CONTINUE TO FAVOR SLOW MOVING...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THIS MORNING.
..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 10/03/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 29679366 31739273 32079226 31979148 31459093 30939084
30349082 29869104 29339135 29079167 28969227 28959264
29089324 29159342 29679366
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment