DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250545
SWODY1
SPC AC 250543

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1243 AM CDT FRI OCT 25 2013

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN U.S...

MID LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH LOCATED ALONG THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY
WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS AZ INTO THE SRN ROCKIES BY 26/00Z. THIS
FEATURE WAS INSTRUMENTAL IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN FROM CNTRL AZ INTO SRN NM THURSDAY AND RENEWED
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE NOTED FRIDAY DOWNSTREAM. A PLUME OF STEEP
LAPSE RATES WILL OVERSPREAD THE SRN ROCKIES AND FAVORABLE ASCENT
SHOULD ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. WHILE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
DIURNALLY MAXIMIZED...DEEPENING WLY FLOW ALOFT SHOULD ALLOW
CONVECTION TO SPREAD INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS DURING THE LATTER HALF
OF THE PERIOD. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS NM...WHERE GREATEST
CONCENTRATION OF STORMS IS EXPECTED...EXHIBIT A FEW HUNDRED J/KG
MUCAPE AND ASIDE FROM SOME GRAUPEL OR SMALL HAIL IT APPEARS BRIEF
HEAVY SHOWERS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH CONVECTION ACROSS THIS
REGION.

..DARROW/PETERS.. 10/25/2013

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