DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 091625
SWODY1
SPC AC 091623

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CDT WED OCT 09 2013

VALID 091630Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...EASTERN STATES...
AN UPPER LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR EASTERN NC AND SOUTHEAST
VA. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL FL...WITH
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY OVER SOUTH FL FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AS
WELL. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE FORECAST.

...WESTERN STATES...
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT OVER THE WESTERN STATES...WITH COLD
TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN
PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST STATES. DAYTIME
HEATING...MARGINAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...AND FORCING AHEAD OF A
STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN CA WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE MOUNTAINOUS WEST
TODAY. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE FORECAST.

..HART/GOSS.. 10/09/2013

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