DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 130529
SWODY2
SPC AC 130527

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 PM CST THU DEC 12 2013

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MEAN TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS THE ERN CONUS WITH A RIDGE OVER THE
W COAST. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS THE SE INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WITHIN THE LARGER ERN TROUGH WITH A STRONG
MIDLEVEL JET STREAK DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION. AT THE SURFACE...A
PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP NEWD FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY AT
12Z SAT INTO THE OH VALLEY DURING THE DAY...WITH A SECONDARY LOW
TRAVELING ALONG A WARM FRONT FROM AL INTO GA AND SC. TO THE W...A
COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL ACROSS WRN AL...SRN MS...AND ERN SERN LA BY
AFTERNOON. STRONG SHEAR...MODEST FORCING FOR ASCENT AND SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

...FL PANHANDLE INTO SRN AL AND GA...
MODELS SUGGEST LOW TO MID 60S F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS WILL EXTEND
FROM THE GULF COAST NWD TO THE SURFACE LOW TRACK WHICH WILL LIE
ROUGHLY FROM CNTRL AL INTO SC. N OF THIS ZONE...MUCH COOLER AND
STABLE AIR WILL RESIDE. DESPITE THE MOIST AIR MASS...LAPSE RATE
PROFILES WILL BE RELATIVELY POOR...AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL
FOR SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...STRONG SHEAR PROFILES...A HODOGRAPH
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF A FEW CLUSTERS OF
STORMS NEAR THE COLD FRONT AND ALONG THE LOW TRACK SUGGEST ISOLATED
SEVERE WIND GUSTS OR A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO COULD OCCUR.

..JEWELL.. 12/13/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.