Sunday, March 9, 2014

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 091731
SWODY2
SPC AC 091730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT SUN MAR 09 2014

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT UPPER FLOW WILL EXIST OVER THE CONUS ON MONDAY. THE PATTERN
WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED BY A SLOW EASTWARD-MOVING SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER
LOW OVER NORTHEAST MEXICO/FAR SOUTH TX...WHILE A MORE PROGRESSIVE
UPPER TROUGH STEADILY AMPLIFIES OVER THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION/GREAT BASIN.

...SOUTH TX/TX COAST TO FAR SOUTHERN LA...
EAST OF THE NORTHERN MEXICO/FAR SOUTH TX UPPER LOW...WEAK ELEVATED
INSTABILITY WITH A FEW HUNDRED J/KG MUCAPE WILL COINCIDE WITH A
SLOPING/ELEVATED FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS THE REGION. AS
SUCH...PERIODIC/EMBEDDED TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SOUTH
TX/COASTAL TX TO POTENTIALLY NEAR COASTAL LA. NO SEVERE TSTMS ARE
EXPECTED GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY.

...NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION/GREAT BASIN...
UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE REGION WHILE A COLD FRONT
STEADILY SPREADS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION. STEEPENING
LAPSE RATES IN THE PRESENCE OF AMPLE FORCING WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED
TSTM POTENTIAL...PARTICULARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

..GUYER.. 03/09/2014

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