SWOD48
SPC AC 100841
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2007
VALID 131200Z - 181200Z
..RISK OF ORGANIZED SVR WEATHER APPEARS MINIMAL THROUGH NEXT
WEEK...
..DISCUSSION...
00Z ECMWF/GFS AND MOST MEMBERS OF THE LATEST NCEP-GEFS SUGGEST THAT
THE SRN STREAM UPR LOW THAT DROPS INTO NRN MEXICO EARLY NEXT WEEK
MAY NOT EJECT EWD INTO TX UNTIL AFTER FRIDAY 16 NOV. MEANWHILE...A
SERIES OF MID-LEVEL WAVES MOVING QUICKLY SEWD FROM THE N PAC BASIN
WILL GRADUALLY CARVE OUT A COLD...BUT PROGRESSIVE ERN STATES TROUGH
BY MID-LATE NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY MORE OF A ZONAL WNWLY FLOW PATTERN
BY THE WEEKEND. THIS SCENARIO WILL LIKELY SPELL A REINFORCEMENT OF
DRY/STABLE CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR THAT WILL SPREAD QUICKLY SEWD FROM
THE NRN PLAINS/GRTLKS REGION INTO FL AND THE NRN GULF BASIN BY
WEEK/S END. THOUGH A BAND OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT
ACROSS THE OH/TN VLYS...MID-SOUTH AND PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS...POOR
MOISTURE/LAPSE RATE RECOVERIES AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PRECLUDE ANY
ORGANIZED SVR WEATHER OUTBREAKS.
.RACY.. 11/10/2007
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