SWOD48
SPC AC 120848
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 AM CST WED NOV 12 2008
VALID 151200Z - 201200Z
...DISCUSSION...
DAY 4...
SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS MAY LINGER EARLY SATURDAY OVER ERN
NC WHERE STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS MAY PERSIST IN SMALL WARM
SECTOR BEFORE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...IT REMAINS UNCERTAIN
WHETHER INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A MORE ROBUST
SEVERE THREAT.
SEVERE THREAT IN FL ALONG SWD ADVANCING FRONT WILL PROBABLY BE
LIMITED DUE TO AN EXPECTED MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT AND
LIKELIHOOD THAT STRONGER DEEP FORCING AND SHEAR ATTENDING THE
AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN POST FRONTAL.
DAY 5-8...
UPPER TROUGH IN THE EAST WILL BE REINFORCED ALONG WITH A SECONDARY
SURGE OF CP HIGH PRESSURE BY DAY 6. THIS WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY
OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE GULF WITH STABLE CONDITIONS INLAND.
..DIAL.. 11/12/2008
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