SWODY3
SPC AC 060726
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 AM CST FRI NOV 06 2009
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...S THROUGH SERN TX AND SRN LA...
UPPER LOW APPROACHING THE BAJA AREA IS FORECAST TO DEAMPLIFY AS IT
MOVES EAST THROUGH NRN MEXICO AND S TX SUNDAY. MODEL CONSENSUS IS
THAT A SURFACE WAVE WILL DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF BOUNDARY OVER THE
WRN GULF IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN IMPULSE LIFTING NWD AHEAD OF THE
UPPER LOW. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS S AND SERN
TX...POSSIBLY SPREADING INTO SRN LA SUNDAY NIGHT. INCREASINGLY MOIST
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR A THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...THE SURFACE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO STAY
OFFSHORE WHICH WOULD LIMIT DEGREE OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AND
DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL. IT APPEARS INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN
TOO MARGINAL FOR A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IN THIS REGION.
..DIAL.. 11/06/2009
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