SWOD48
SPC AC 050825
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0325 AM CDT TUE OCT 05 2010
VALID 081200Z - 131200Z
...POTENTIAL TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SEVERE RISK AREA...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE STRONGER BRANCH OF THE
PREVAILING SPLIT UPPER FLOW WILL REMAIN GENERALLY NEAR OR NORTH OF
THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER
INITIALLY BECOMING MORE PROGRESSIVE LATE THIS WEEK...DEVELOPMENTS
WITHIN THE WEAKER SOUTHERN STREAM BECOME UNCLEAR. HOWEVER...
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. CORRESPONDINGLY
...A SUBSTANTIVE INLAND RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE OFF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND DESTABILIZATION SUPPORTIVE OF A REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT...APPEAR UNLIKELY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..KERR.. 10/05/2010
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